原文鏈接: http://www.da3g8pb.xyz/gjys/2024/0910/c12017a174385/page.htm
? 2024年9月6日,China Daily發表了由研究所黃梅波教授和張宇寧博士撰文的評論文章Band-Aid alternative。文章通過回顧2020年前后中國對非發展融資與債務處置的實踐經歷,總結了中國主權債務治理的中國特色及其國際貢獻,并呼吁國際社會要幫助非洲國家實現債務與經濟發展的良性循環,根本上避免債務危機。
文章指出在中非合作和“一帶一路”倡議的推動下,中國政府通過對外援助、出口信貸、開發性金融、股權投資等方式為非洲國家提供了大量急需的發展資金,有效緩解了其融資壓力并逐漸成為非洲國家的重要融資來源之一。在積極對非提供發展融資的過程中,作為官方雙邊債權人,中國也積極加強債務管理,為評估和解決“一帶一路”倡議下的債務可持續性問題,財政部于2019年發布了《“一帶一路”債務可持續性分析框架(低收入國家適用)》,這補充了多邊機構主導下的債務可持續性分析體系,也為中國更好地處理非洲債務問題提供了思考框架。面對不可避免的債務國違約問題,長期以來,中國的主權債務治理模式具有明顯的中國特色。2020年前,中國主要采用雙邊渠道處理與發展中國家的債務問題,對于不能按期償還的無息貸款,先后采取了展期和減免的處理方式;對于優惠貸款、優惠買方信貸和商業貸款,中國傾向于通過降低利率、延長寬限期和大幅延長還款期等方式來減少債權凈現值。面對新冠疫情后逐漸上升的債務違約可能性,中國一直積極正面參與非洲債務處置問題。中國加入G20發起的緩債倡議及共同框架,標志著中國開始從過去的雙邊慣例轉向積極參與多邊協商。針對發展中國家債務問題,中國一貫立足長期視角為非洲國家提供解決方案。中國認為,緩債減債雖可解燃眉之急,但并非長久之計,國際社會應該采取措施創新發展融資機制,改善非洲國家經濟結構,升級經濟增長方式,形成債務與經濟發展的良性循環,以從根本上避免債務危機,推動發展中國家特別是重債窮國的長期可持續發展。
China Daily|黃梅波等:中方致力于為非洲國家疫情引發的債務問題提供長效補救措施http://www.da3g8pb.xyz/zkzx/2024/1017/c18918a175732/page.htm
Band-Aid alternative,By HUANG MEIBO and ZHANG YUNING,China Daily Global
China strives to provide long-term remedies for the treatment of African countries' pandemic-induced debt problems
The Chinese government has provided a large amount of much-needed development funds for African countries through foreign aid, export credit, development finance, equity investment and other means, effectively alleviating their financing pressure and gradually becoming one of the most important sources of financing for African countries.
This funding has helped African countries make significant progress in infrastructure construction and contributed to their intrinsic growth momentum.
Before 2020, China handled debt issues with other developing countries mainly through bilateral channels. During the debt crisis and economic crisis of African countries in the 1980s, China negotiated with African countries on solving the debt problem — mainly by extending the repayment periods. For example, China extended the repayment period for the Tanzania-Zambia Railway project several times. From 1983 to 1990, China lengthened the repayment period for a dozen African countries, including Cameroon, Chad, Ghana, Mozambique, Tanzania, Rwanda and Sierra Leone.
Since 2000, the Chinese government has been providing debt relief for African countries by canceling interest-free loan debts that matured and could not be repaid.
Between 2000 and 2019, China canceled at least $3.4 billion in African debt. It has provided large-scale debt cancellation for Zambia, Ethiopia, Ghana, Sudan, Cameroon, Tanzania, Mozambique, Mali Guinea and other African nations. After the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, China announced that it had written off interest-free loans for 15 African countries that matured in 2020. Later, at the Eighth Ministerial Conference of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation, China announced that it would exempt the least developed African countries of debt incurred from interest-free loans matured at the end of 2021.At the follow-up video conference held in 2022, China announced that it had waived 23 interest-free loans for 17 African countries which had matured by the end of 2021.
For concessional loans, preferential buyer's credits and commercial loans, China tends to treat them without reduction of principal. Although the debt treatment method in each case is different, the main way is to reduce the net present value of the debt by lowering the interest rate, extending the grace period and significantly extending the repayment period.
Between 2000 and 2019, Chinese lenders restructured or refinanced approximately $15 billion of debt in Africa, of which $4.378 billion was restructured. Of that, after 2014, in the wake of the global commodity price plunge, China actively carried out debt restructuring with African countries to help them cope with the unfavorable international environment. In 2016, China provided $7.5 billion in new financing to Angola, making Angola one of the largest beneficiaries of China's outbound investment and financing loans in Africa. From 2017 to 2019, China has carried out debt restructuring with Chad, Mozambique, Ethiopia, Niger, Republic of the Congo, Cameroon and other African countries.
From the perspective of debt forgiveness for Africa, China's governance plan, which emphasizes "bilateral channels" and adherence to the principle of "noninterference in internal affairs", is different from that of the Western providers such as the International Monetary Fund and the Paris Club.
Generally, China does not simply offer debt forgiveness, and loans are made on the basis of a project's future earnings rather than short-term economic conditions. This is because China believes that debt write-offs only solve problems on the surface and do not guarantee long-term debt sustainability. If the debtor has difficulties in paying on time, China will consider helping the project revitalize through such means as rescheduling and increasing the grant, or hiring a Chinese company to assist operations. China aims to ensure the interests of both parties by increasing the "blood-creation" capability, to help the project get back on track and earn profits.
Since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, the debt sustainability of African countries has once again come under the global spotlight. Facing the rising possibility of debt defaults, China has been actively participating in the treatment of African countries' debt problems and providing African countries with solutions based on a long-term perspective.
China has actively carried out debt moratorium and debt restructuring with African countries through bilateral and multilateral channels to reduce their debt repayment pressure. In this process, China has fully considered the development needs of African countries and is committed to promoting their long-term sustainable development.
China's participation in the G20 Debt Service Suspension Initiative and the Common Framework for Debt Treatments marks the beginning of China's transition from a bilateral approach to a multilateral approach in addressing debt problems.
In 2020, China and the other G20 members jointly launched the DSSI and the CF.China has actively coordinated the joint negotiations of official bilateral creditors, which is not only the improvement and upgrading of China's debt governance concept, but also a reflection of its integration into the international sovereign debt governance system.
Two official bilateral creditors, the China International Development Cooperation Agency and the Export-Import Bank of China, started to provide G20 DSSI to countries worldwide in April 2020. Other Chinese banks including the China Development Bank and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China also provided debt relief to other countries outside the G20 program.
China ranks first among the G20 members in terms of debt deferral amounts under the DSSI for African countries. As of October 2021, China had suspended $5.7 billion of debt service payments for 26 countries, more than all the Paris Club members combined and accounting for around half of the world's total debt service suspension. China is also a major bilateral creditor for the three CF debt relief applicants — Chad, Ethiopia and Zambia.
In the process of providing development financing to Africa and dealing with the corresponding debt problems, providing debt relief is only a stopgap measure for solving the urgent need, but not a long-term solution. The international community should take measures to innovate the development financing mechanism, improve the economic structure of African countries, upgrade the mode of economic growth, and form a virtuous cycle between debt and economic development to fundamentally avoid a debt crisis.
Based on respect for African countries and African people, China will continue to cooperate with African countries in infrastructure, trade and investment through China-Africa cooperation and the Belt and Road Initiative, to promote the long-term stable development of African countries and fundamentally improve their development capacity and debt repayment capacity.